Pre-tourney Rankings
Missouri Valley
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
123 Drake 0.0%   22 - 9 12 - 6 22 - 9 12 - 6 +3.4      +2.3 116 +1.1 143 71.6 102 +5.4 99 +3.3 2
125 Loyola Chicago 0.0%   19 - 13 12 - 6 19 - 13 12 - 6 +3.1      +0.4 165 +2.7 101 59.5 349 +1.8 139 +3.4 1
143 Southern Illinois 0.0%   17 - 15 10 - 8 17 - 15 10 - 8 +1.7      +0.3 167 +1.3 135 65.2 278 +0.6 162 +0.8 4
158 Bradley 100.0%   15   19 - 14 9 - 9 19 - 14 9 - 9 +0.3      -2.1 241 +2.4 110 64.2 295 +1.1 150 -0.3 7
164 Northern Iowa 0.0%   14 - 18 9 - 9 14 - 18 9 - 9 -0.3      -1.8 229 +1.5 129 62.4 327 -0.6 174 -0.3 6
172 Missouri St. 0.0%   15 - 16 10 - 8 15 - 16 10 - 8 -0.7      -0.9 203 +0.3 161 65.9 260 -0.8 177 +1.1 3
186 Illinois St. 0.0%   16 - 16 9 - 9 16 - 16 9 - 9 -1.5      -1.8 228 +0.3 162 67.5 215 +0.5 166 -0.1 5
200 Valparaiso 0.0%   13 - 18 7 - 11 13 - 18 7 - 11 -2.5      -4.1 285 +1.6 127 63.9 307 -2.5 199 -2.6 9
202 Indiana St. 0.0%   13 - 16 7 - 11 13 - 16 7 - 11 -2.6      -2.0 238 -0.5 181 71.4 108 -0.7 176 -2.6 8
223 Evansville 0.0%   9 - 21 5 - 13 9 - 21 5 - 13 -3.5      -3.0 259 -0.5 179 72.3 91 -4.9 239 -5.4 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Drake 1.0 100.0
Loyola Chicago 1.0 100.0
Southern Illinois 3.0 100.0
Bradley 5.0 100.0
Northern Iowa 5.0 100.0
Missouri St. 3.0 100.0
Illinois St. 5.0 100.0
Valparaiso 8.0 100.0
Indiana St. 8.0 100.0
Evansville 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Drake 12 - 6 100.0
Loyola Chicago 12 - 6 100.0
Southern Illinois 10 - 8 100.0
Bradley 9 - 9 100.0
Northern Iowa 9 - 9 100.0
Missouri St. 10 - 8 100.0
Illinois St. 9 - 9 100.0
Valparaiso 7 - 11 100.0
Indiana St. 7 - 11 100.0
Evansville 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Drake 100.0% 100.0
Loyola Chicago 100.0% 100.0
Southern Illinois
Bradley
Northern Iowa
Missouri St.
Illinois St.
Valparaiso
Indiana St.
Evansville


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Drake 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bradley 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.8 78.9 20.4
Northern Iowa 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Illinois St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Valparaiso 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Indiana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Evansville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Drake 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Iowa 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Valparaiso 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Indiana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evansville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 0.0 100.0
2nd Round 2.2% 0.0 97.8 2.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0